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Tag Archives: consumer metrics institute

Low Inflation Deflator and Inventory Increases Boost GDP

Second Estimate 3Q 2017 GDP In their second estimate of the US GDP for the third quarter of 2017, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the US economy was growing at a +3.30% annual rate, up +0.32% from the previous estimate and up +0.24% from the prior quarter. Follow up: Please share this article - Go to very top of page, right hand side, for social media buttons. The changes from the prior estimate reflect higher commercial fixed investment, higher inventory growth, more...

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‘Strong’ GDP Growth Is Really Not So Strong

by Rick Davis, Consumer Metrics Institute In their first (or "preliminary") estimate of the US GDP for the third quarter of 2017, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the US economy was growing at a +2.98% annual rate, down -0.08% from the prior quarter. Follow up: Please share this article - Go to very top of page, right hand side, for social media buttons. The changes from the prior quarter reflect a general weakening of consumer and commercial spending growth, nearly...

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Consumer Spending is Driving Healthy Economic Growth

by Rick Davis, Consumer Metrics Institute September 28, 2017 - BEA Revises 2nd Quarter 2017 GDP Growth Slightly Upward to 3.06%: In their third and final estimate of the US GDP for the second quarter of 2017, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the US economy was growing at a +3.06% annual rate, up +0.02% from their previous estimate and up +1.82% from the prior quarter. Follow up: Please share this article - Go to very top of page, right hand side, for social media...

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Consumers Continue to Support Healthy GDP Growth

by Rick Davis, Consumer Metrics Institute August 30, 2017 - BEA Revises 2nd Quarter 2017 GDP Growth Upward to 3.04%: In their second estimate of the US GDP for the second quarter of 2017, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the US economy was growing at a +3.04% annual rate, up +0.48% from their previous estimate and up +1.80% from the prior quarter. Follow up: Please share this article - Go to very top of page, right hand side, for social media buttons. Consumer...

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GDP Growth Seems to be Normalizing

by Rick Davis, Consumer Metrics Institute July 28, 2017 - BEA Estimates 2nd Quarter 2017 GDP Growth At 2.56%: In their first (preliminary) estimate of the US GDP for the second quarter of 2017, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the US economy was growing at a +2.56% annual rate, up +1.14% from a downward revised first quarter. Follow up: Please share this article - Go to very top of page, right hand side, for social media buttons. Consumer spending rebounded,...

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Healthcare is Boosting GDP Growth

by Rick Davis, Consumer Metrics Institute In their third and final estimate of the US GDP for the first quarter of 2017, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised the growth of the US economy upward to a +1.42% annual rate, up +0.26% from their previous estimate for the first quarter but still down over a half percent (-0.66%) from the +2.08% reported for the fourth quarter of 2016. Follow up: Please share this article - Go to very top of page, right hand side for social media...

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GDP Improves to Tepid Growth

by Rick Davis, Consumer Metrics Institute 26 May 2017 - BEA Revises 1st Quarter 2017 GDP Growth Upward To 1.16% In their second estimate of the US GDP for the first quarter of 2017, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised the growth of the US economy upward to a +1.16% annual rate, up +0.47% from their previous estimate for the first quarter but still down nearly a percent (-0.92%) from the +2.08% reported for the fourth quarter of 2016. Follow up: Please share this article - Go...

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Consumer Spending Increase Saves 4Q 2016 GDP Estimate from a Decline

by Rick Davis, Consumer Metrics Institute February 28, 2017 - BEA Revision Revises 4th Quarter 2016 GDP Growth To 1.85%: In their second estimate of the US GDP for the fourth quarter of 2016, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the US economic growth rate was +1.85%, essentially unchanged from the +1.87% previously reported but down by nearly half (-1.68%) from the prior quarter. Follow up: Although there was no material change in the headline number, the composition...

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Inventories and Low Deflator Boost Low GDP Estimate

BEA Estimates 4th Quarter 2016 GDP at 1.87% by Rick Davis, Consumer Metrics Institute In their first (preliminary) estimate of the US GDP for the fourth quarter of 2016, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the US economic growth rate was +1.87%, down by nearly half (-1.66%) from the prior quarter. Follow up: The quarter to quarter decline in the headline growth rate came from a number of sources: the growth of consumer spending on services was more than halved (down...

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Third Quarter 2016 GDP Growth is Impressive

by Rick Davis, Consumer Metrics Institute In their third and final estimate of the US GDP for the third quarter of 2016, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the growth rate was +3.53%, up +0.38% from their previous estimate and up +2.11% from the prior quarter. Follow up: The improvement in the headline number was broadly based: +0.14% came from higher consumer spending, +0.17% was from more fixed investment spending, and +0.09 of it came from additional governmental...

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