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The G-20 must wake up to the COVID-19 crisis

Summary:
As nations across the globe scramble to combat the coronavirus pandemic, they have overlooked a major tool that would help greatly: international coordination of their economic policy responses to the crisis. Concerted action within the Group of Seven (G-7) leading industrial democracies has been minuscule, and the larger Group of Twenty (G-20), which played a crucial role in rescuing the global economy in 2008–09, has been an afterthought.[1] This neglect finally may be changing. On March 16, the G-7 leaders pledged in nonspecific terms to coordinate public health and economic measures while encouraging science, research, and technology cooperation. But faced with the European Union’s self-defeating emergency restrictions on exports of hospital supplies outside the trade bloc, G-7 leaders

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As nations across the globe scramble to combat the coronavirus pandemic, they have overlooked a major tool that would help greatly: international coordination of their economic policy responses to the crisis. Concerted action within the Group of Seven (G-7) leading industrial democracies has been minuscule, and the larger Group of Twenty (G-20), which played a crucial role in rescuing the global economy in 2008–09, has been an afterthought.[1] This neglect finally may be changing.

On March 16, the G-7 leaders pledged in nonspecific terms to coordinate public health and economic measures while encouraging science, research, and technology cooperation. But faced with the European Union’s self-defeating emergency restrictions on exports of hospital supplies outside the trade bloc, G-7 leaders had a limp response: “We will address disturbances to international supply chains and continue to facilitate international trade.”

Earlier on March 6, G-20  finance ministers and central bank governors issued an anodyne statement expressing sadness at the spread of COVID-19, stating that they are closely monitoring the situation and committing to work with international organizations to aid developing countries. The group then went AWOL until March 23, when International Monetary Fund (IMF) managing director Kristalina Georgieva and World Bank president David Malpass rightly released their statements to the G-20 finance ministers’ conference to prod the G-20 countries urgently to take concrete, collective measures. Reports of the call highlighted a virtual summit, responding to an initiative by India, to approve an “action plan” in response to the pandemic.

Four areas cry out for collective action: financial support for poorer countries; curbing destructive trade practices; macroeconomic support; and prudent, responsible financial supervision.

Financial Support for Poorer Countries

Many of the emerging-market and developing countries are experiencing large outflows of foreign financial investment. The IMF and World Bank are stronger financially than they were in 2008, with more flexible lending policies. But available IMF resources are likely to prove insufficient for the challenge at hand.

Accordingly, the G-20 should call upon members of the IMF promptly to fulfill their commitments to renew and enlarge their arrangements to lend to the Fund.

On March 15, the Federal Reserve reduced the pricing of its standing swap lines with central banks of Canada, the euro area, Japan, Switzerland, and the United Kingdom by 25 basis points. On March 19 the Federal Reserve reactivated the liquidity swap lines that it had with nine other central banks during the global financial crisis of 2007–09 and increased the maximum amounts that can be drawn by the central banks of Brazil, Korea, Mexico, and Singapore from their previous caps of $30 billion to $60 billion. These actions expand the effective availability of IMF resources by providing an alternative source of short-term liquidity. The G-20 should encourage the Federal Reserve to enlarge its swap network to include other major emerging-market and developing countries and for other major central banks to follow the Federal Reserve’s lead.

The G-20 should also mandate the IMF to consider a large, one-time Special Drawing Rights (SDR) allocation of $500 billion to bolster members’ foreign exchange reserves.

Two-Part Trade Pledge

Over the past several years, the United States, China, the European Union, and many other countries have raised import tariffs. In response to COVID-19, the European Union and dozens of other countries have imposed restrictions on the export of products critical to providing medical assistance to patients suffering from the virus. G-20 members should pledge, first, to refrain from raising new barriers to investment or trade in goods and services, such as imposing new export restrictions or implementing measures to stimulate exports that are inconsistent with World Trade Organization (WTO) rules. Second, they should commit to rolling back import and export restrictions imposed since December 31, 2017, just before the US administration imposed safeguard duties on solar panels and washing machines from China.

Support for the Macroeconomy

The major central banks recently have acted aggressively to cushion the economic and financial impacts of the pandemic. But monetary policies must be reinforced by concerted fiscal policy actions on a broad scale. G-20 countries that have the scope to act should not free ride.

Prudent Financial Supervision

The coronavirus pandemic, unlike the global financial crisis of 2007–09, did not originate in the North Atlantic financial system. Banks are also stronger than they were then.

The G-20 should call on the Financial Stability Board, established in 2009 to coordinate supervision of the global financial system, to issue guidance on the appropriate capital relief for banks as they support their clients in this crisis. The G-20 should further call on the international institutions and national bank supervisors to organize a new Vienna Initiative, also created in 2009, to foster cooperation between public and private sectors to support continued foreign bank lending to countries in Eastern Europe and to establish similar mechanisms for other regions.

In short, leaders of major countries, acting through the G-20 and in the interests of their own countries, should lead in containing and repairing the economic and financial damage from the pandemic that threatens global prosperity.

Note

1. The members of the G-7 are Canada, France, Germany, Japan, Italy, the United Kingdom, and the United States. The G-20 consists of the G-7 as well as Argentina, Australia, Brazil, China, the European Union, India, Indonesia, Korea, Mexico, Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, and Turkey

Edwin M. Truman
Edwin M. Truman, nonresident senior fellow since July 2013, joined the Peterson Institute for International Economics as senior fellow in 2001. Previously he served as assistant secretary of the US Treasury for International Affairs from December 1998 to January 2001 and returned as counselor to the secretary March–May 2009. He directed the Division of International Finance of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System from 1977 to 1998.

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