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Covid-19 Hospitalizations, Fatalities Trending Up

Summary:
Two days ago, reader Bruce Hall wrote: Cases continue to escalate; deaths do not; hospitalizations are basically level. The hyperbole around cases is unfortunate because infections are not categorized for action since asymptomatic to severe are lumped together. Mr. Hall should revise and extend his remarks. Figure 1: Covid-19 related current Hospitalizations (blue, left scale), fatalities, seven day moving average (red, right scale). Source: Covid Tracking Project, accessed 10/22/20. Given previous observable correlation between lagged hospitalizations and fatalities, my guess is we will see fatalities continue to trend upward for some time.

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Two days ago, reader Bruce Hall wrote:

Cases continue to escalate; deaths do not; hospitalizations are basically level. The hyperbole around cases is unfortunate because infections are not categorized for action since asymptomatic to severe are lumped together.

Mr. Hall should revise and extend his remarks.

Figure 1: Covid-19 related current Hospitalizations (blue, left scale), fatalities, seven day moving average (red, right scale). Source: Covid Tracking Project, accessed 10/22/20.

Given previous observable correlation between lagged hospitalizations and fatalities, my guess is we will see fatalities continue to trend upward for some time.

Menzie Chinn
He is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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