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CDC Covid-19 Fatality Count and Excess Deaths

Summary:
CDC has released data through 15 August as of today. Figure 1: Weekly fatalities due to Covid-19 as reported to CDC for weeks ending on indicated dates (black), excess fatalities calculated as actual minus expected (teal), fatalities as tabulated by The Covid Tracking Project/Atlantic (dark red), all on log scale. Source: CDC accessed 8/26/2020 vintage, Covid Tracking Project/Atlantic accessed 8/26/2020 and author’s calculations. From week ending February 29th through the week ending August 8th (the latest CDC data, which incorporates severe undercounting in the last three weeks), the cumulative CDC fatality tally is 165.6 thousand. Cumulative excess fatalities is 223.4 thousand, implying an additional 57.8 thousand Covid-19 fatalities above the official tally over this period. NEC

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CDC has released data through 15 August as of today.

Figure 1: Weekly fatalities due to Covid-19 as reported to CDC for weeks ending on indicated dates (black), excess fatalities calculated as actual minus expected (teal), fatalities as tabulated by The Covid Tracking Project/Atlantic (dark red), all on log scale. Source: CDC accessed 8/26/2020 vintage, Covid Tracking Project/Atlantic accessed 8/26/2020 and author’s calculations.

From week ending February 29th through the week ending August 8th (the latest CDC data, which incorporates severe undercounting in the last three weeks), the cumulative CDC fatality tally is 165.6 thousand. Cumulative excess fatalities is 223.4 thousand, implying an additional 57.8 thousand Covid-19 fatalities above the official tally over this period.

NEC Chair Larry Kudlow stated yesterday:

“It was awful … Health and economic impacts were tragic. Hardship and heartbreak were everywhere. But presidential leadership came swiftly and effectively with an extraordinary rescue for health and safety to successfully fight the Covid virus.”

The Covid Tracking Project/Atlantic reported 1249 fatalities today (8/26, as of 8/26).

Menzie Chinn
He is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

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