Thursday , November 21 2019
Home / Econbrowser - James Hamilton / Is World Trade Volume a Leading Indicator?

Is World Trade Volume a Leading Indicator?

Summary:
The slowdown could be coming from tariffs, or from decelerating economic growth. You decide… Figure 1: World trade volume, 2010=100 (blue). NBER defined recession dates shaded gray. Source: CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, and NBER.

Topics:
Menzie Chinn considers the following as important: ,

This could be interesting, too:

Menzie Chinn writes Guest Contribution: “Yet Another Look at the Recent Inversion of the Yield Curve”

Menzie Chinn writes Business Cycle Indicators, Mid-November

Menzie Chinn writes The Trumpian World as Natural Experiment

Menzie Chinn writes Why Is the 2019 Slowdown Different than the 2016 Slowdown?

The slowdown could be coming from tariffs, or from decelerating economic growth. You decide…

Is World Trade Volume a Leading Indicator?

Figure 1: World trade volume, 2010=100 (blue). NBER defined recession dates shaded gray. Source: CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, and NBER. 

Menzie Chinn
He is Professor of Public Affairs and Economics at the University of Wisconsin, Madison

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *