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John Taylor
John B. Taylor is the Mary and Robert Raymond Professor of Economics at Stanford University. He formerly served as the Director of the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research where he is currently a Senior Fellow. He is also the George P. Shultz Senior Fellow in Economics at the Hoover Institution.

John B. Taylor

Monetary Policy Got Behind the Curve, How to Get Back

On Friday May 6, we held our annual Monetary Policy Conference at the Hoover Institution at Stanford. This year it was entitled: “How Monetary Policy Got Behind the Curve and How to Get Back,” and the title turned out to describe the theme of the conference, the papers presented, and the discussion from the audience remarkably well.   Michael Bordo, John Cochrane and I organized the conference. Condoleezza Rice, Director of the Hoover Institution and former Secretary of State, gave...

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“WE’LL HAVE IT IN THE NEXT ONE,” “WE’LL BRING THEM BACK FOR THE JULY,” said Chair Powell at the House yesterday and at the Senate today

At hearings of the House Financial Services Committee yesterday, and of the Senate Banking Committee today, Fed Chair Jerome Powel was asked about why he and the Federal Reserve Board omitted the section on monetary policy rules in the just released February 2022 Monetary Policy Report. In fact, the Fed’s Monetary Policy Report sent to Congress last Friday does not include the usual section on monetary policy rules.  The Fed has included the section on policy rules in its Reports...

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A New-Old Critique of Monetary Policy

Today, John Cochrane, Mickey Levy, Kevin Warsh & I spoke at a roundtable discussion on the Fed’s monetary policy at the Hoover Economic Policy Working Group. Cochrane talked about the fiscal side, Levy about the best inflation measures, Warsh about regime change, and I talked about the big deviations in policy from standard monetary policy rules. Many of the speakers had written about these issues for a year or so, but bringing them together revealed different perspective but...

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Bill McGurn Shows Nice Video Clip of Milton Friedman

Bill McGurn make a lot of good references to Milton Friedman in a video just posted on the Wall Street Journal web site. We hear Milton talking about the power of the market. https://www.wsj.com/video/series/main-street-mcgurn/wsj-opinion-joe-biden-milton-friedman-and-a-lesson-in-inflation/E3400D7C-AA91-49CC-8341-65721E37BDF4 It is a great video and I always use it my Economics 1 introductory economics lectures at Stanford. Below is a review slide from the lecture on September 29 of...

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New Principles of Economics Now Available

I am very happy to say that the new edition of Principles of Economics v9.1 is now officially published. Here is where you can find it on the FlatWorld web page: https://catalog.flatworldknowledge.com/catalog/editions/principles-of-economics-9-1.  It has been pleasure for me to continue to work on this edition with Akila Weerapana of Wellesley College, who brings terrific experience and knowledge of teaching basic economic principles. The book continues to cover basic economic...

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“The Most Reckless Monetary Policy Since Arthur Burns”

Today the Editorial Board of the Wall Street Journal wrote that the Federal Open Market Committee has shown “little interest in reeling in what has been the most reckless monetary policy since Arthur Burns roamed the Eccles Building.” Last month I published an article, which Project Syndicate cleverly headlined “Is the Fed Getting Burned Again?” It summarized research consistent with this Wall Street Journal editorial. I presented the research in detail in an April 2021 paper “The...

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Shortest Recession in US History

The Business Cycle Dating Committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research has a very important job. It is responsible for determining the peaks and troughs of business cycles in the United States. It thus decides how long recessions are and also how long expansions are. The Chair of the Committee is Professor Robert Hall of Stanford University. The latest decision of Committee occurred just this week on July 19, 2021. The Committee decided that a trough in monthly economic...

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Monetary Policy a Half Century Ago, and Now

Today I  published an article in Project Syndicate. It starts with a memo sent fifty years ago, on June 22, 1971, by Fed Chair Arthur Burns to President Richard Nixon. Inflation was rising and Burns wrote to Nixon that the Fed was not to blame. Rather the economy had changed and a new policy – a wage and price freeze and controls—was needed.   The memo convinced Nixon, and wage and price controls were implemented. But the intrusive nature began to show and the government controls...

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Amazing New Facts About the 2007-2009 Global Financial Crisis

This week Raghu Rajan spoke at the Hoover Economics Policy Working Group on “Going the Extra Mile: Distant Lending and Credit Cycles” a joint paper João Granja and Christian Leuz. Here is a video of his presentation https://www.hoover.org/events/policy-seminar-raghuram-rajan-1 along with the slides https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/going_the_extra_mile.pdf and the paper itself https://www.hoover.org/sites/default/files/going_the_extra_mile_may_3_2021.pdf Raghu focused on...

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The Impact of the Pandemic and Lasting Lessons for Teaching Economics

Yesterday, I gave a keynote talk at the tenth American Economic Association Conference on Teaching and Research in Economic Education (CTREE). I have been teaching economics for 53 years. I love teaching economics. I love researching economics. And I love doing policy in economics. So it was a pleasure to talk about teaching economics, and the questions from other economic teachers and researchers in the audience were really good. Here are the slides. I talked mainly about teaching...

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